Original publications

Publisher directory

Links go to the publisher website or primary tables. Each evidence page shows the specific figure, period and caveat used.

Politics and public opinion

Oddschecker public politics markets

Checked every three hours; unavailable after four hours

Three named commercial markets with raw decimal odds and unnormalised reciprocal percentages. They appear only when the complete observation is inside its four-hour window.

Original publication

Economy and population

Office for National Statistics

Monthly or periodic, according to the named release

Monthly GDP, labour market, public-sector debt, central-government receipts, inflation, unemployment and long-term migration.

Bank of England

At Monetary Policy Committee decisions

Official Bank Rate in the key economic indicators evidence.

Original publication

Public services

NHS England

Monthly; evidence expires after 45 days

Monthly referral-to-treatment waiting-time publication. A&E, GP waits, workforce and life expectancy are not part of this measure.

Original publication

International comparisons

UK in context comparison sources

Checked weekly; missing publisher coverage remains unavailable

Cross-country per-resident comparisons for debt, official development assistance, defence, public social expenditure, total health spending, tax revenue and debt interest. Each measure keeps its own observation year and comparison coverage.

Unavailable evidence

What we are not showing

These figures stay unavailable when the source or comparison cannot support the claim clearly enough.

Polarisation analysis

Unavailable

No score is displayed because the former formula and poll-level inputs were not reproducible.

Original publication

UK regional comparison

Unavailable

No map, ranking or value is displayed because the former layers lacked row-level evidence, standard geography codes and cross-nation comparability.

Policy relationship analysis

Unavailable

No coefficient or relationship strength is displayed because the former inputs, variables, weighting and calculation were not reproducible.

Original publication